Trust the science...unless it conflicts with your politics
>> Mr. Moore: Foreign.
>> Bryan Schott: Welcome to Special Session. I'm your host Bryan Schott.
The show where we not only talk about the big
political news from the last week, but help you understand
what's really going on and why it matters. We
don't have a lobbyist as a co host like some of the other
shows about Utah politics that might be in your
podcast feed. We don't try to pretend that they're
not a lobbyist. So there's nobody trying to
push an agenda here. No turf to protect
cuz you might upset policymakers. Just
political news and analysis. Now before we get to this
week's news, I've got a little bit of an update that I'd like to
weigh in on. You know, I've been talking on this podcast and in
my newsletter about how Republicans
look to be angling to overturn SB54
get rid of the signature path for candidates before
the 2026 election. Now, it was
obviously take a special session of the
legislature to do. And at the Republican
State Convention a couple of weeks ago, Senator Mike Lee
urged Governor Spencer Cox to take that
step, call a special session for the purpose of
overturning repealing SB54.
Well, Governor Spencer Cox was asked about that and he said
he's not going to call a special session
to get rid of the signature path.
But that does not put the issue to
bed because the Legislature can
call itself into special
session if 2/3 of the members in the
House and the Senate determine that there is
an emergency in the affairs of the state.
And that's part of the reason why at
that same convention lease asked
delegates to start putting pressure on
lawmakers. Republican Party Chairman Rob
Axon says they have the votes to repeal
SB 54 in the House but not
in the Senate. And if they can get two thirds
of the house and 2/3 of the Republicans in the Senate
on board, that's all they need to call
themselves into a special session. They'd have enough
votes to override a veto by Governor Cox
if they took that step. And
there's really not much anybody could do to stop
them. We've still got six months left in the
year, so this issue is not dead. Watch
this space.
Now that that's over, let's get to the week in Utah
Political News
Dateline Utah's Capitol Hill.
I present to you a study. In contrast, recently,
Utah House Speaker Mike Schultz Traveled to
Washington, D.C. he was representing the state
at the release of what he called a
landmark report from Health
and Human Services Secretary Robert F.
Kennedy's Make America Healthy Again,
commission. This was a report on childhood
health. And he hailed the results of
the report, said it was bold action and just
the kind of thing that Utah needed to be doing.
Well, the funny thing about reports from
the government is that people are going to
read it and look at some of the
sources that you cite to support your
arguments. And the first outlet to do
that was notice. And they found that at
least seven of the studies
that were cited in this Make America Healthy Again
report were made up. They didn't exist. They
reached out to the purported authors of these studies,
who said, I, I never wrote anything like that. I
never worked on that article. I
never published anything like that. So these
studies were made up. It looks like the report's
authors used artificial intelligence, which just
hallucinated these studies, which is one of the problems
of using artificial intelligence, because sometimes it
just makes stuff up. There was one
example where the report cited
an article linking the rise of
ADHD medication use by children
to increased advertising. Advertising, uh, that's
one of Secretary Kennedy's
hobby horses. That's one of the things that he likes to
complain about, is how the
increase in advertising from Big
Pharma has led to a higher use of these
drugs. Anyway, there was a report linking the rise
of ADHD medication in children, the use in
children, to increased advertising. But
that article does not appear in the journal where it was published.
The author does not even appear to be
a real ADHD researcher.
Now, Speaker Schultz and the Utah legislature, they have
really leaned into this Make America
Healthy Again agenda. As you might
remember, during the 2025 session, they completely
ignored the advice of dental health
experts and passed legislation,
uh, making Utah the first state in the union to ban
fluoride in drinking water, despite
pleas from dental health experts who said, this is not
a good idea and it's going to lead to
more dental problems for children. And we'll get
back to that in a second. They also pass
bills prohibiting food containing
certain dyes and chemicals from being served in school
lunches. And they also prevented Utahns on
who. Who are on food assistance, um, on state
assistance for food, the SNAP program, from
using those benefits to purchase soda.
And those are all things that Secretary Kennedy
has pushed. So I reached out to Speaker Schultz and
asked him if he was reconsidering his support
for this commission report based
on the fact that it made a bunch of
stuff up that these studies that it relied
on for many of the conclusions just don't exist.
And unsurprisingly, I didn't hear anything back.
Okay, so let's contrast that with another
story from the last week. We got to rewind
back to 2023 when the legislature
passed a ban on gender for affirmin
care for minors in the state. When
they passed this legislation, they said, well, it's not a
ban, it's just a moratorium. We're going to put a pause
on minors accessing this
kind of care, gender affirming care, hormone
therapy, until we can study the
impacts, the long term impacts of
this kind of medical care. As
part of this bill, they tasked the Utah Department of Health and Human
Services with studying the
impacts, the long term impacts of gender
affirming, affirming care. They said there was a lack of
research on the topic and that's why they just wanted to press pause a
moratorium. They just wanted to press pause on this issue
until they had a chance to study it. We got the results of that
study back last week and its conclusion was
that there are positive mental health
benefits outcomes as a result
of gender affirming care. Now, it did
find that the, that hormone treatments can increase
the risk of some types of benign
brain tumors, but it had mostly
positive concoctions conclusions about those
treatments. So this is a real
study done by real
researchers who actually exist. They're
not imagined. So how do you think Utah
lawmakers receive this report? Nope, they're
gonna ignore it. If you thought anything else, you haven't been paying
attention, they're going to ignore it. They said the
moratorium stays in place because
they need to protect children from these
treatments because children may be making
life altering decisions. In some cases, these are
perman, because they need to protect children
from making these, what can be permanent
decisions. So you've got a report from the federal
government that uses made up research
and they're all in on that. But then they've got
a report from their own government that they paid for, the
taxpayers paid for, that concludes
gender affirming care leads to some positive
outcomes. And they're like, nah, don't think so. We're not
gonna listen to it. The difference one of those
reports aligns, uh, with their political
ideology, their preconceived
notions, their political agenda, and the other
one doesn't. And that's why they're not gonna
lift this ban on gender affirming care,
because they've spent the last couple of
sessions beating up on transgender people
because that's what the Republican party has been doing at
a national level. They've done it to whip up their voters.
And so to retreat from that would be
A huge problem for them. They would get attacked
by libs of TikTok, you know, noted scientific
expert herself. And they just don't want to deal with that. So
they're going to completely discount this
scientific study that by the way Utah taxpayers paid
for. But they're going to go all in on this
other study that uses made up research
because it's where their party's politics
are right now.
And let's talk a little bit about that legislation to
ban fluoride and drinking water here in Utah.
Utah and Florida are the first two
states to do that. Well, there was a study
done trying to predict what would happen if
that ban went nationwide. That's one of the things that
Secretary Kennedy wants to do, is ban fluoride
in drinking water. When researchers tried to predict what would happen
if that ban went nationwide, they
found that about 7 1/2% more children
in the country between the ages of 0 and 19
would get cavities. And, and that would cost the
country around $9.8 billion,
uh, in dental care. You know who's cheering? The results
of this move by Utah and Florida dentists.
They're going to make bank off of this because
you're going to see dental health decline
in the state. But that's another case where
Utah policymakers, Utah lawmakers
ignore the advice of experts and
instead do what aligns with their political
agenda.
D Line Ogden, Utah
Utah Democrats held their state convention in Ogden this
weekend. They selected former representative Bryan
King to be their chairman over the next two
years. He's got a big task in front of him. These
party has struggled to even be
relevant here in the state. Uh,
Republicans control all of the statewide
offices. They hold every seat in Congress.
There's a super majority of Republicans in both the
Utah House and the Senate. Registered
Democrats make up just 14% of the
active voters in the state. They're outnumbered by
Republicans by nearly 4 to 1. The
party has not won a statewide race
since 1996 when Jan
Graham was reelected as Attorney
General. That'll be three decades when the next election
cycle rolls around. When he made his pitch to
about 1400 delegates who were on hand at Ogden High School,
King signaled he was ready to be more
aggressive when standing up to the Republican supermajority.
>> Bryan: Because something is happening here in Utah. People
can feel it. You can feel it. People are paying attention and
they're so sick of the far right circus, both the
local clowns and the national ringleader.
And you know what? Unlike an actual circus,
nobody's having any fun and this isn't just some
abstract policy debate. What we're talking about here is real, and
it's happening right now. It's parents losing their
Medicaid coverage. It's students being told what they
can't study. It's immigrants being detained
without due process and deported.
It's workers picking up the tab while
billionaires cash in.
Republicans are serious about hurting people,
and we need to be just as serious about protecting them.
Utahns are fed up and they're looking for a change,
and that's where we come in. I'm
running for chair because I believe Utah's ready for a
Democratic Party to. That doesn't whisper
our values, but that stands up for them
loudly and proudly
every single day.
We stand for reproductive freedom. We fight for
clean air and affordable homes. We care about our
neighbors. We care about the Constitution.
There's an idea, and we're going to
make sure that Utahns know it. We've
got too much talent and too many ideas to be losing
to a party that thinks libraries are public
enemy number one. Some people will tell you that Utah's
too far gone, that we'll never turn it blue. We shouldn't even try.
That's garbage.
That's cowardice. Regular
Utahns are protesting and speaking out, and students
are organizing. Teachers and public, uh, workers
are fighting back. And people are standing up,
up, and we need to stand up with them.
>> Bryan Schott: A couple of things struck me on Saturday when I was sitting there in the
convention hall. Utah Democrats are
angry about the way things are going here in the state.
Republican policies that they say are
hurting people, focusing too much on
culture war issues rather than solving actual
problems. And they're also desperate.
They are desperate for someone on the national
level to stand up to the Republicans on the state level
to stand up to Republicans. And they're desperate to
win elections. During his opening address,
Weber County Democratic Party Chair Jeremy
Thompson took a shot at Senate Minority
Leader Chuck Schumer for sending a letter
to Donald Trump expressing his displeasure
with some of those policies. Leaders who don't show
deference to an old guard. That has brought us to our
reality today. Nationally, leaders who
will do more than send a strongly worded letter with eight
questions to a president who can't read.
You have to admit, that's a pretty good line. In fact, I think the
Democrats mentioned Donald Trump at their
convention more than Utah Republicans did.
I can only remember Republicans
mentioning Trump a handful
of times during their long convention a couple of
weekends ago. But the Democrats
in Utah at their convention, they took direct aim
at the president. Another expression of that
anger came from Oscar Mata, who
ran for vice chair. He didn't win his race, but in his
speech to delegate, he came out swinging.
>> Oscar Mata: Our fight is not amongst each other here in this
auditorium. Our fight is not amongst
Democrats in our county parties. Our fight
is with the Utah Republican
legislature. Our fight is
with the Utah gop. And you know what?
We have something to fight for.
The reason that I am here today running and why I
am fighting is because, I'll be honest,
I'm pissed.
I am pissed that my daughter that was born
two months ago was born with less rights than her
mother that was born 30 years ago.
I'm pissed that there are folks getting
rounded up that look like me and have a name like
mine in broad daylight and being sent to, uh,
uh, detention camps in Central America.
And I'm pissed that people like
my mom, who is married to her wife,
are one Supreme Court decision away from losing
their ability to love who they love.
>> Bryan Schott: The keynote speaker on Saturday was supposed to be Illinois
Governor J.B. pritzker, who is said to be
getting ready to run for president, the Democratic
nomination in 2028. He wasn't able to
attend in person because the Illinois legislature was still in
session and it was their final day. Had he shown
up, it would have been one of the biggest gets for the
Democratic Party in recent memory. I can't remember them
even getting someone with that kind
of profile to come and speak at their
convention. The only comparable thing I can think of is when
Utah Republicans got Florida Governor Ron
DeSantis to keynote their convention a
couple of years ago as he was getting ready to run for president,
given how DeSantis's presidential aspirations
ended up in the toilet. And maybe it
wasn't all bad for Pritzker to not show up in person
on Saturday. He did send a video message to
Utah Democrats, and it took a pretty aggressive
tone, pushing back against Republicans.
>> J.B. Pritzker: The purpose of government is to improve
people's lives. And when the separation of
powers gives way to autocracy,
when everyday Americans are ignored,
when the wealthiest and most powerful are engaged
in kleptocracy, our
constitutional republic is at risk.
At Donald Trump's direction,
Republicans in Congress are stripping away health care by
cutting Medicaid and threatening Medicare.
They're attacking nutrition programs for children
and eliminating cancer treatment for everyone.
When working families pay more for eggs and
tomatoes and beer so that the wealthiest
Americans get the biggest tax cut in US History,
it will be because Donald Trump and congressional
Republicans put their interests over
yours we will lose if
we fail to speak up, if we fail to protest,
if we fail to show up. It's true
that Democrats have become too captive to
institutional norms and rules of engagement.
And those rules only ever seem to apply to one side of
the aisle. That's not on them,
that's on us. Voters didn't turn out
for Democrats last November, not because
they don't want us to fight for our values, but because they
think we don't want to fight for our values.
Let's stop playing by those old institutional norms.
Instead, it's time to fight
everywhere and all the time. And it's going
to look a little different in Utah than it does in Illinois,
different in New York than in Florida
in Donald Trump's Republican Party. Those
are all just different heads of their hydra.
The question isn't which subset of those
cowards that we fight against, it's how
hard are we willing to fight for the future of our
country? This is a full court
press, and in the months ahead,
remember who we're fighting for. Everything
that we care about is under siege by a racist,
misogynist, homophobic, xenophobic
Donald Trump, the purveyor of chaos
and confusion, who cares not at all about
everyday people. I'm done with the
same old tired platitudes, aren't you?
That's why I got to ask you, are
you ready for the fight? I mean, are you ready for
the fight?
>> Bryan Schott: As I said, Democrats are also
frustrated and desperate. They're desperate to
start winning elections in Utah.
And that was articulated by, by
Salt Lake County Council member Natalie Pinkney when
she introduced another one of the chair
candidates, uh, Ben Peck. Here's what she said.
>> Natalie Pinkney: There's a tragedy in our party, and it's a tragedy
of losing. Every year, the same party
leaders elected and consultants say we're going to
flip this state. Yet every year nothing
happens. And that tragedy grows,
grows so much that our loss means diversity is
illegal. The flag we want to fly is illegal.
Our unions are illegal. Are we
going to sit here and let this tragedy grow?
Are we going to continue to be defeated, or are we
going to win.
>> Bryan Schott: Utah Democrats, on that subject of
desperation to win elections, there were a couple of other stories
here in Utah this week that I want to bring into the
discussion. Democratic National Committee
chair Ken Martin came to the state and in an
interview, he said that there's a long shot
strategy to turn Utah blue. They're going to
start, start spending money here, and they need to reach out to religious
voters. I've covered Politics in the state long
enough that this is probably the fifth or sixth
time I've heard that national Democrats were
launching their strategy to turn Utah
blue. That's ambitious, but I'll believe it
when I see it. They've tried this before.
They've spent money here in the state, they've given
money to state parties to try and
help build that infrastructure. And it just
has not worked here in the state for a number of
reasons. There's a reason why Republicans outnumber
Democrats by almost 4 to 1.
It's going to take a sustained effort and it's.
And, and if they commit to it, it's probably
not going to pay off for a number
of years. It is a long term game. It's not something you can
just wave a bunch of money at and flip
Utah blue. It's going to take a
years long effort. Look at what happened in Florida.
It took Florida Republicans almost 20
years to rest that state state from
Democratic control. And now the Republican Party
is dominant in Florida and the Democrats
are completely ineffectual. And to
do something like that, it takes a long term strategy and it
takes money. I'm not saying it can't be
done, but you have to wonder if Utah Democrats have the patience
and discipline to pull something like this off.
It's gonna take a messaging strategy that actually
connects with Utahns and, and that's one
of the reasons why selecting King as party
chair is intriguing to me.
During his eight terms in the legislature,
he was very good at getting
under the skin of the
Republican super majority. He's a
lawyer, he's able to poke holes in their arguments
fairly effectively. And there were times when
he really made the Republicans on the Hill
upset. I don't know how that translates to
reaching out to everyday Utahns who
don't pay attention to what's happening up on the Hill, who aren't
as focused on politics as
you or I may be. I think it'd be hard
to find someone in the state who's as focused on politics
as I am. There's probably only a couple
dozen people who fit that bill. It'll be
interesting to see how he tries to make that leap, leap
from the legislature to communicating to
a wider group of Utahns trying to convince
them that the Democratic Party is not
evil, that you can cast a ballot for the
Democratic Party. And even then, if he is able to make
gains, it's likely that those will be
minimal at best. Maybe
winning a few more seats in the legislature, that would be a good
start. The biggest thing that could happen to the Democratic
Party in this state is if they were able to
to break the Republican super majority
in the legislature. If they did
that, then
Republicans would have to govern
differently because it would be hard for
them to come up with a veto proof
majority automatically and just ram
through things that they want to do that are
unpopular. Think about the voucher program they passed a couple of
years ago. If there had not been a Republican
supermajority in place in either the House or the Senate,
that would have probably changed the way that
they approach that legislation.
But since Republicans have such large
majorities in both the House and the Senate and can do
whatever they want, you've seen their politics
get more and more extreme
over the years because there's really no one
who can stop them. Governor Spencer Cox has
given very little indication that he has the appetite to
stand up up against Republicans in the
legislature for what he sees as some of their
excesses. Think about the pride flag ban
bill. He just let that go into effect without
his signature rather than picking a fight
on a veto. If there were enough Democrats
in the House or the Senate
to prevent Republicans from get
from automatically having a veto proof
majority on some of these things, that would
be a major change in how this state is
governed because. Because it would force Republicans to
moderate a little bit on some of this legislation. Right
now they don't have to. 61 seats in the House,
22 seats in the Senate. That's more than
enough to override any veto and
ram through any piece of legislation
that they want to. Like I said, King has
got a huge hill to climb taking
over the Democratic Party in
Utah. It will be interesting to watch what he does over the next
two years.
Dateline Washington D.C.
oh, Doge Caucus, how we
hardly knew ye. You remember when
Elon Musk was coming to Washington
and he got Republicans in Congress really excited
because he promised to take a chainsaw, uh,
to government spending and slash spending by
a trillion dollars. And in response,
Republicans formed the Doge
Caucus because they really wanted to help his
efforts. A few months later, Elon Musk is
leaving Washington. His efforts at
Doge actually might end up
costing more than whatever spending
that they reduce. And the
Doge Caucus, it hasn't met in
months. Utah Republican Representative Blake Moore
was one of those people who jumped up
when the Doge Caucus was announced. He was
named as a co chairman of that group. One of the leaders
even he is trying to distance himself from
Elon Musk. Here's what he said on Fox News
earlier this week.
>> Mr. Moore: So I think Mr. Musk M. Was very aggressive.
Um, we got to meet with him back in
December. And, you know, this was.
There was a lot of excitement and there was a lot of
anticipation at. Federal
government is not Twitter. And, um,
I think what. What he. What he ultimately saw was,
hey, this is a very dynamic, very complex organization.
And, um, let's do what. Let's ultimately do what we can. Look,
this is. This. The things that they've been able to uncover
and find are excellent. And, um, and we
need to focus on that and build on that. And that's the. And that's the beauty of it. So,
yes, that is a significantly lower amount than was
anticipated.
>> Bryan Schott: By any measure, Doge has been an
absolute failure. Musk
promised to cut a trillion dollars, but like
almost all of his promises, it's never come to
fruition. In fact, when he left,
he's now only claiming to have saved
$175 billion in spending.
And most of that can't be backed up
with any actual information
or facts. Experts estimate the
real amount of spending that they cut is probably
less than half of that. In fact,
CNN is reporting that because of the things
Doge did, it might end up
costing taxpayers more. They reduce
staffing at the Internal Revenue Service. That means the US
Will bring in less revenue.
National parks, they cut staffing in national parks,
and national parks are a moneymaker for
the federal government. That's going to be reduced
revenue for the government. Plus there's all
sorts of litigation against the government because
Doge trying to cancel contracts. Congress
is trying to codify some of the Doge cuts,
but who knows whether or not they'll be able to get that
legislation through. And that's not the only
reason why Moore is probably distancing
himself from Elon Musk.
The House Doge caucus, when they first started,
the meetings were packed. But Democratic
Representative Jared Moskovitz of
Florida, who joined into the caucus and went to the meetings,
and Moskovitz says that over the last five
months, the Doge Caucus only met twice,
and they're not involved with Elon Musk at
all. So it's just petered out. And that's probably why
Moore is distancing himself from Musk and the Doge
Caucus. Moore has consistently defended
the big, beautiful bill that the House passed,
the reconciliation bill going through Congress.
He's consistently defended it because what it. The main
provision is that it extends the tax
cuts that were enacted in
2017, the last time that
Donald Trump was in the White House.
>> Mr. Moore: So the important part of this bill, and, um,
I think it's being missed in the conversation is in
2017, we made historic tax reform that put
American families, American businesses in a
competitive, in a competitive rate. What that did
was help grow our economy. It helped keep companies from
taking their business overseas and being able to contribute more
revenue to the U.S. government. And, um, what
we're doing is we're making that permanent. What we're doing in this bill
is making that permanent. It because if we don't address
that, massive, uh, tax increases happen in about
seven months. And that's what some of the critics, I think, are misunderstanding.
>> Bryan Schott: But those tax cuts are the reason why the
Congressional Budget Office, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget
Office, says the bill is going to add more than
$3 trillion to the
deficit by 2034.
Extending those tax cuts is the primary
reason why it's going to increase the deficit.
Despite claims from Republicans that the bill actually
reduces spending. Now there are some spending
cuts in there. House Republicans have proposed cuts to
federal safety net programs like Medicare,
but this increases the deficit so much that it may trigger, um,
mandatory cuts to Medicaid as well.
And it's really interesting to hear more in this interview.
Stick to the line that Republicans are
deficit hods. They're worried about the size of the
national debt. They're worried about the threat
that poses to the country. But this bill
actually, actually raises the deficit
and more does not address that at all. Now
the bill's heading to the Senate where they're going to make changes to
it. You've heard Senator Rand Paul of
Kentucky say that the spending,
that the math doesn't add up for this
piece of legislation, that it increases
spending too much. It increases the deficit too
much. You've heard other Republicans say that there's not enough
spending cuts in this bill. Utah Senator John Curtis
is trying to save some of the cuts that the House made, like,
like some of the federal clean energy programs that are being
cut. He wants to keep those or try
to find a way to preserve those.
And you've got a group of Republicans in
the Senate who are wary about cutting
Medicare and possibly Medicaid. So
it's gonna take a while to hammer this thing out. But I
found it very striking that Moore is
doing what he can to distance himself from Elon
Musk. Ask, while still sticking to the line
that this bill does not increase
the deficit when every single
analysis says that's not the
case.
Uh, that's it for this week. Before we
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