Has the Utah GOP figured out how to finally kill SB54?
>> Bryan Schott: Foreign
hello and welcome to Special Session. I am
your host, Bryan Schott. Well, you think it'd be a
quiet week in Utah politics. We're heading into the
summertime. Memorial Day weekend is right around the
corner. Three, three days off. I hope you have a
safe and happy holiday celebration,
but that doesn't mean that the political
news has slowed down here in Utah. We've got a lot to
talk about this week on the show. It looks like the Utah
Republican Party may have finally cracked the code
on how to overturn SB54 and get rid of
the signature gathering path, which they've hated ever since
it came to be in 2014. And
it's a lot of fun to paint yourself as a fiscal
conservative when you are a Republican,
but with Utah's members of Congress, we found out that
the rhetoric doesn't match the action
when the rubber hits the road. We'll talk about all
that in a second. Before we do, I'd like to take
a moment for a little bit of a shameless self
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hear from you. Now that that's out of the way,
let's get to the important Utah political stories from the
last week.
I talked about this a little bit in last week's podcast,
but as I started thinking about it more and
I'm really starting to believe that the Utah Republican Party,
along with the Republican controlled legislature,
they are working on a plan to
overturn SB54, get rid of the
signature path for candidates, and put
caucus and convention delegates in charge
of the nomination process for the Republican Party,
which is Utah's largest political party.
I wrote about that this week, laid out a
possible scenario in which they
could do that this year
and put the delegates back in charge not only for
the 2026 election cycle, but the
2028 election cycle as well. And there's
not a whole h*** of a lot anybody could do about it.
Let's rewind a little bit. At last week's Utah
Republican Convention, there were three things that
happened that got my attention,
that got me started thinking about this. And
the more time I spent thinking about it, the more
convinced I Am that this is going to happen. The first thing that happened
there was a proposal, a change to the Republican Party's
constitution that would kick
signature gathering candidates out of the party. It would
revoke their party status. I've spoken about that before,
how that would put the party in direct conflict
with Utah law and
basically lead to a showdown
with the state and the courts. While they were
getting ready to debate that proposal, the sponsor got up
and said that he wanted to pull it off the agenda.
And he cryptically offered the reasoning
that he was made aware that there was a better
path forward or another way to do this that was in
the works. That by itself is not too unusual.
It's the kind of thing that happens a lot in
political party conventions. I've been going to these things for a long
time. I've been covering Utah politics for more than 25 years.
I've seen this sort of thing happen before.
But then later that day, Utah Senator
Mike Lee got up in his speech
to delegates and he said this.
>> Mike Lee: Mr. Governor, I ask you to convene a special
legislative session as soon as possible, bring
together the legislature and ask the legislature
to restore the caucus and
convention system. Do I call upon all within the sound
of my voice. If you agree with me, please
express it in any way you can to your state
senators, to your state representatives, anyone
else who will listen. Let's
reinstate the caucus and convention
system and tell the state, tell the government,
stay out of our nomination process. It doesn't belong to
you.
>> Bryan Schott: So that's number two. Lee calling on the governor
to convene a special session of the legislature
to overturn SB54.
It's kind of hard to take Lee serious on this
because he has used the signature path
in both of his reelection bids. In
2016, he paid a signature
gathering firm $128,000. And then
in 2022, his campaign paid that same
over $400,000. It's kind of hard to take him
seriously on that. It's easy to dismiss that
as just red meat to rile up the G O
P delegates. But then later in the
afternoon, after he had won another term as
Utah Republican Party chairman, Rob
Axon was speaking to the media and
he joined the chorus of people calling for
the end of signature gathering.
>> Rob Axson: Absolutely. I'm not a fan of the signature path. I believe in the
caucus convention system and that delegate path.
>> Bryan Schott: What specifically would you like the Utah legislature to do
regarding SB54?
>> Rob Axson: I mean, the quick answer to that, I'd like them to
repeal that, but.
>> Bryan Schott: It Sounds like that's not on the table.
>> Rob Axson: It is on one side of the
legislature. The votes are there in the House, the
votes are not there yet in the Senate. But it can't
be a vitriolic conversation. It's not threats.
It has to be a conversation that's transparent and
upfront and collaborative. If we can
show the value of what the Republican Party is doing
and trying to do and trying to grow and build additional
capacity, we make it a lot easier on these
elected officials to take the hard votes of repealing
SB54. It's going to take some time.
How long or how short that is, I don't know.
But what I do know is we have in our ability the,
the opportunity to build a strong party, and that will be a
benefit in repealing SB 54.
>> Bryan Schott: As author Ian Fleming wrote in Goldfinger once,
his happenstance twice as a coincidence,
three times is enemy action. And when you have
these three things happen on the same
day, it really starts to look
like, or at least smell like. There is
a plan in the works to
have the legislature overt
SB 54 and get rid of the signature
gathering path for candidates.
And the fact that they were talking about a special session, the
fact that Senator Mike Lee talked about a special
session really got my antenna twitching.
And here's why. If Republicans
wanted to repeal the signature gathering path, if they
wanted to get rid of signature gathering,
overturn SB 54, if they wanted it to be
in effect for the 2026 election, they would have to do
it before the filing period
starts on January 2, 2026.
Because if they were to wait for the general session
that starts later in January to do this
and tried to make it in effect for
2026, it'd be really hard to do that because
courts kind of frown on changing the rules
after the election cycle has already started.
So if they want to do it for this upcoming election, they
would need to do it before January
2nd. And doing it in a special session has some
advantages. For one, it would give opponents very
little mobilize special
sessions. The agenda is usually only set
about 48 hours before the special
session begins. Sometimes things are added
to a special session agenda that you're not
expecting or that you're not aware of. And
then when they make the language of the
legislation public, it's usually
the day before the special session begins. So there wouldn't
be a lot of time for opponents to mobilize
and react. Let's think back to last
year in August when the legislature called an
emergency emergency session Remember, lawmakers have
the ability to call themselves into special session for
emergencies and other issues. Well, they had a. They called themselves
into a special session in August and
that's when they put Amendment D
on the ballot, which was the proposed constitutional
amendment that would allow them to override
any voter approved ballot initiative.
And that whole process took a little bit more
than 48 hours. What happened was legislative
leaders issued the proclamation to convene that
session session on August 19. The language
of the bill that led to Amendment D, S J
R401 that was released to the public
on August 20. So the next day and then
on August 21 when they had the special session,
it had one public hearing in the Business and Labor
Interim committee and then later that afternoon it
breezed through the House and then the Senate in
a little more than two hours. If they
decide to do this, it would happen in very
short order. We already know that there's going to be a
special session at some point this year. A lot of people
expected it to happen this month in May,
but there was no call issued. They're usually
held in conjunction with
interim days, so I would assume the next one
would be towards the end of June
if they're going to have a special session.
Now if the legislature chooses to go down this
path, the only thing that could stop
this bill is if, if it
was open to a referendum. And as I have explained
before, if a piece of
legislation passes both the House and the
senate with a 2/3 majority,
not only is it veto proof, but it's
referendum proof. And I'm sure
the legislative leaders learned their lesson from
HB 2 67, the union busting bill
that they passed in the 2025 session. It
did not get that two thirds support in both
the House and the Senate which left it open for a
referendum. Protect UT workers. That's the coalition
of labor groups. They got together and
got enough signatures to put it on
the ballot. We're still waiting for an official determination, but the law
has been put on hold because they blew
past all of the signature
requirements to put it on the ballot.
So it's likely going to appear on the 2026
ballot. And I'm sure the legislative leaders
have learned their lesson and I'm pretty sure that
they would not bring something like this
to the floor unless they knew they had
enough votes in the House and the Senate
to forego or to head off any
referendum effort. Doing this would not be
a popular move. There's been some recent polling that shows
only 12% of Utahns want
Candidates to be nominated exclusively
by delegates at political conventions.
44% of plurality. They like the current
dual track system. Taking this move, which would likely
be unpopular, likely caused some backlash.
Uh, they're not gonna bring it to the floor unless they have enough
votes to make sure that there's no
referendum effort. 22 of the 29 seats in
the Senate are held by the Republican Party. They could lose two
votes and still have that referendum proof majority.
In the House, the margin is a little bit
more comfortable. They have 61 seats in the
House out of 75. And they could lose 11
and still have 50 votes in the House to avoid
a referendum. So war gaming this out. If
they were to pass a bill in a special
session to eliminate the signature gathering
effort, uh, it would mean that in
2026 at least there
would be no signature gathering path
for candidates in the Republican Party. Now there are no
major elections. It's the midterm elections, just the
four congressional seats. The entire House of Representatives and
half the Senate would be up for elections. There
aren't any statewide races on the
ballot. But there's a possibility that it could
also be in effect for the 2028
election in which you have, Governor, you have one
U.S. senate seat up, that Senator Mike Lee's U.S. senate
seat, that one's up for election
and the presidential election and other
statewide races. Remember,
SB54 came out of a
compromise that was struck between Republican
lawmakers and a group called Count My
Vote. And this group was in the
process of preparing a ballot initiative in
2014. They were going to try to put it on the
2014 ballot to eliminate
the caucus and convention system from the
nominating process. It would have
the state go to a direct primary where all
candidates gather signatures to appear
on the ballot. Polling at the time showed that if
this, this ballot initiative were to
qualify for the ballot, then
it would probably pass. There was a
big majority of Utahns who favored this move.
And so Republican legislators, they recognized that this
was a problem and they wanted to
preserve the caucus and convention system. So
SB54 was a compromise to keep the
caucus and convention system in place. But
delegates hate it. They absolutely hate
this because it dilutes their power. If you
look at the numbers just in
terms of who these delegates are and the
decisions that they're making, according to voter
registration firms are about 855,000
active Republican voters in the state.
There were
2,650 Republican
delegates who showed up, up for this
year's state convention. That's just
0.3% of all the
active Republican voters in Utah. It really
doesn't take a lot of imagination to think that
a number of office holders
who are Republicans would not be in office
right now if the signature gathering
path was not available to them. The
biggest example is Senator John Curtis.
His career probably would have ended in
2017. He ran
in the special election to replace Representative
Jason Chaffetz after he suddenly
resigned from Congress. Curtis
was a candidate in the
convention, but convention delegates eliminated
him. They picked Chris Herod and. But
Curtis collected signatures, and so did political
newcomer Tanner Ange. He collected his signatures too.
They both got on the ballot. John Curtis won the
primary election and to win a
seat in Congress. And then again in
2024, John Curtis, if there was
no signature gathering path, he would not be in the
U.S. senate today because Trent Staggs
Riverton Mayor he won the
nomination outright at convention. So
he would probably be a US Senator today
if there was no signature gathering pass. Same too for
Governor Spencer Cox. He'd probably be back home on his
farm in Fairview if the signature
gathering path did not exist because Phil Lyman
would have won the Republican nomination
outright at the GOP convention. And when
you look at how the convention process
plays out, not just at the state level, where you have
about 4,000 Republican delegates
who would be in charge of the nominating process
for the statewide races, U.S.
senate, and then about a thousand in each of the four
congressional districts, but when you get down
to legislative seats, sometimes it's just a
few dozen delegates who would make the decision
on who the nomination would be. The example that comes to
mind is Representative Ken Ivory. He was forced
into his first ever primary election in
2024 because his opponent gathered
signatures. If she hadn't gathered
signatures, he would have won the nomination outright
at convention, and he would have only needed 38 votes to do
it. 38 votes. And that's the process that
Republican delegates really want to return to
because they would be the gatekeepers. They would be a
politburo like group that
would control access to the
Republican ballot or to the Republican
nomination. Now, I explained that
SB54 was in response to
a possible ballot initiative. So
you might be asking yourself, well, wouldn't they just start a ballot
initiative again to try and get
rid of the caucus convention system, a ballot initiative,
because if Republicans do this, they will have broken that
compromise. And, and how about just launching a
ballot initiative again? Well, yes, they could,
but there are a couple of hurdles. First of all, if they did it this year, it
would be very, very difficult to get a Ballot
initiative on the 2026 ballot because they'd
be running up against some severe time
constraints. Usually ballot organizers have.
Sometimes it's like 316 days from the day
that they file the language or the
deadline if they wanted to get it on the 2026 ballot.
Because they wouldn't have 316 days before
the election time in February
to turn in signatures.
It's a herculean effort for them to
do that. Not only would they have to hit the same signature
goal that the referendum organizers did, which is
8% of all the active voters in Utah, which
is just over 140,000 statewide,
but they would have to hit that 8%
in 26 of the
state's 29 Senate districts. For a
referendum, you have to hit it in 15
Senate districts. For a ballot initiatives,
you have to hit it in 26 of 29,
not 15 of 29. So it's much harder
to get a ballot initiative
on the ballot. There are some other hurdles that the
legislature has put in the way of ballot
initiatives since 2014.
The biggest one is that if you want to use
paid signature gatherers, they can only be
paid hourly now. In the past they were paid
by the signature. You can only pay
hourly now, which cuts down on
the number of people who will want to stand outside and get
paid to collect signatures. You can still get
paid by the signature if you are
collecting signatures for political
candidates, but not for ballot initiatives. So
that's a new hurdle. Also this last year
there's a new requirement that sponsors would have to
include a detailed breakdown of how the new
law would be funded, whether it would lead to a
tax increase. This probably wouldn't
do that. But they also have
to publish the proposed law in newspapers
around the state for at least 60 days before the election.
And that would cost more than a million dollars. So you've got that
million dollar price tag in addition to
holding public hearings and collecting
all of these signatures all before mid February.
So it'd be really hard for
organizers to get an initiative on
the ballot for 2026 to try
and get signature gathering back
or get rid of the caucus system, convention system for
nominating candidates by 2028. More
realistically is there would
be a ballot initiative to try and
get on the 2028
ballot. But then nothing would
happen until 2030 and 2028 is
a big election. Not only is a presidential election, but
got an open governor's race. Governor Spencer Cox
is not running again. And so
you could see Republican delegates controlling the
nomination. The Republican nomination for
governor in 2028, no signature
gathering candidates at all. Remember, in 2020,
it was a four way primary. Governor
Spencer Cox collected signatures, but he also won the
convention vote. Greg Hughes advanced out of
convention to the primary. You had Thomas Wright and John
Huntsman both collecting signatures.
And then last year, Cox collected signatures,
which saved his bacon because Lyman
overwhelmingly won the vote at
convention. But you could conceivably see
one nominee come out of convention in 2028,
or two people for a primary and no
signature gathering candidates. And that's probably attractive,
especially to some legislators
who are taking a serious look at running for
governor in 2028. And what
a pitch that would be to Republican delegates,
telling them, I'm the guy who got rid
of the hated signature gathering
path. Give me your nomination for governor.
This whole timeline makes a lot of
sense. It's all gonna come down to whether
legislative leaders can get enough votes in the House
and the Senate to head off a referendum if they
can get enough Republicans on board with
this plan. And I would expect that we will
see a special session called
this year to eliminate the caucus
and convention system.
Utah's Republicans in Congress, like
most Republicans in Congress, like to say that
they are deficit hawks. They talk about
the dangers of an exploding national
debt. We're more than $36 trillion
in debt right now. The federal budget deficit,
they talk about the dangers of because they don't
want to, and I'm paraphrasing aggressively
here, leave a big bill for their grandchildren.
So they're very focused on the budget.
Or are they? Because on Thursday,
all four of the Republicans in the House,
Representatives Blake Moore, Celeste Malloy, Burgess
Owens and Mike Kennedy, voted in
favor of Donald Trump's big,
beautiful bill, the budget, and
the tax and spending reconciliation
bill. The that was going through the House. It's headed over to the
Senate. It passed by one vote. All four of them
voted in favor of it. And that was
odd because there was an assessment
of the bill and analysis of the bill by the
nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office
that came out this week that concluded
this bill would increase the
federal deficit by $3.8
trillion, nearly $4 trillion by
2034. Most of that
cost comes from extending the tax
cuts passed during President Donald Trump's first
term. So this bill blows
a $4 trillion hole in
the budget by 2034. Now, this
analysis found that most of the benefit, most of
the financial benefit from this bill would
go to the wealthiest Americans, the
wealthiest households in the country, and the most
vulnerable citizens, the lower income households.
They would face deep cuts to essential
and have their financial resources or have the
financial resources available to them
diminished because of this legislation. The
analysis found that the proposal cuts roughly
$700 billion from Medicaid.
There's $267 billion
in reduced federal spending on SNAP, which is
more commonly known as food
stamps. And it's curious that these
so called the self professed budget hawks
would vote for this legislation. And so I asked them, I
reached out to all four of them and said what
do you think about this analysis from the Congressional Budget Office,
a nonpartisan organization? What, what are your thoughts
on this? Do you have any statement on this while you're supporting this
legislation? And unsurprisingly, none of them
got back to me. They remained completely
silent. And if you look at the
ways that they have
professed their intentions
or, or painted themselves as fiscally
responsible, it's quite striking. Representative Blake
Moore, he's in Republican leadership in the House. He's
on the influential House Ways and Means Committee.
He's also on the House Budget Committee, two very
powerful budgeting committees in the House. And
he's part of a group called the Bipartisan Fiscal
Forum, which is a group of Congressional Democrats and
Republicans who are focused on
quote, the nation's unsustainable
debt trajectory. Um,
in the past, Moore has slammed the Biden administration
for failing to address government spending that
contributed to a growing federal
deficit. And when he sent a
taped video to Republican
delegates at the convention on Saturday,
he said extending the
2017 Trump tax cuts was
crucial, was a crucial step, was something
that was critical for Congress to do.
>> Mike Lee: The key aspect to this is taking what we did
in 2017 and
making that permanent. This was a big part of my very
first election and a lot of the conversation at that time
was how do you extend these
Trump tax cuts? We are going to be able to
through this legislation, make the majority of that
permanent, giving businesses and families
consistency and be this is extremely
pro growth policy that
helps grow the economy, increase
revenues and does
holy wholly good things for, for American
families and businesses and wage growth.
>> Bryan Schott: Moore is also the co chair of the House Doge
Caucus, which is when you saw a bunch
of Republicans cheer Elon
Musk's efforts to come in and slash
federal spending. By the way, he's kind of, kind of
disappeared from Washington and just like
Elon, so has the Doge caucus. They've met a couple of
times and now they don't really exist
anymore. But more who has been
focused on wasteful government spending, on
reigning in the debt, supported this
bill so too did Representative BURGESS
Owens. In 2021. He had a
very strong statement attacking Congressional
Democrats and the Biden administration. When
the Congressional Budget Office concluded that the
Build Better act, which was designed
to help reduce the economic impacts
and help the country recover from the COVID
pandemic, the CBO concluded
that it would increase the federal deficit by
367 billion, a third of a
trillion dollars. And he called the spending bill a
scam and said it would cripple families in Utah and
across the country. He had nothing to say about
this bill. Bill that is
passed on a straight party line vote that
balloons the deficit by nearly $4
trillion. Representative Mike Kennedy has spent years
warning about the impact the national debt will have on
future generations. Kennedy did
not respond to questions about why he
supported the big beautiful bill
that was passed by the House. Also, leading up
to the vote, he dismissed claims that
the reconciliation package would lead
to Americans losing healthcare cover. He called that
fear mongering. But the CBO
analysis says that because of the spending cuts
in the reconciliation package, approximately
15 million Americans are going to
lose their health coverage through the Medicaid cuts.
And by the way, the CBO also confirmed
that because of the increase to the
deficit from this bill that was passed this
week, it's also going to trigger about half
a trillion dollars in mandatory
Medicare cuts. So not only is it
cutting Medicaid, but there will be about half a
trillion dollars in automatic cuts
to Medicare. Now, Kennedy has
claimed that the Medicaid program is rife with
fraud and abuse. And. And any of these cuts
that are coming from a bill would be addressing
that problem. But there's very little evidence to
back up his claims. And Representative Celeste
Malloy, she has not been as outspoken
on the debt and def as she has been in the past.
But it's interesting because right before they
passed this bill, the House stripped out a
provision that she put in that would have sold
about 50,000 acres of public land in
Utah and Nevada out of the bill. So that
was pulled out of the bill before it passed the House.
There were a lot of concerns about that provision,
so she tried to do it along with
Representative Mark Amade of Nevada, but that was stripped out of the
bill before final passage. So there
are plenty of examples of Republic Republicans from Utah
and Congress slamming
increases to the deficit, slamming government spending
when Democrats are in charge. But when the Republicans are
in charge, it seems like they're just fine with
exploding the federal budget by nearly $4
trillion in the next decade or
so.
This is an absolutely terrifying Commentary,
Commentary on where our politics is right
now. This week, a Farmington man was
arrested after he allegedly
threatened and stalked Salt Lake City Mayor Aaron
Mendenhall. He was upset about her move to
change city flags to get around the state
law passed earlier this year, the pride flag
ban. HB77 he started making some
threats on social media earlier in
May. It was right after Mendenhall
publicly unveiled these flags
that she said complied with state law. She
drove a big truck right through a loophole in the law where
they took the sago lily symbol
off of the Salt Lake City flag and added
it to a pride flag, a transgender
visibility flag, and a Juneteenth flag. And then the
City Council adopted those as official flags of the city,
all perfectly legal, all complying with
the law. HB77 but this
gentleman from Farmington made some threats about her in
social media. The most notable one was
a reply to a tweet where he
says, when you see her and her family,
end them immediately. Utah will
rise up. And then there were a couple of red drops, I'm
assuming to signify blood and some
American flags on that. Now, he had an assumed
name on Twitter, but law enforcement was able
to figure out who was behind the username.
They questioned him at his home. He claimed
that his account had been hacked. About an hour after the police
finished talking with him the first time, and he claimed that he had been
hacked, he made another tweet. He tweeted
another reply to Mendenhall
that read time for action. And they realized that
he was actually at the Salt Lake City
and County building at that time,
and security personnel were monitoring him
with security cameras. He was walking around the building,
trying to enter through locked doors. The arrest
report said that when he started entering
the main doors of the building, he noticed that
security was watching him, and so he walked
back to his truck. He was later arrested
and booked into Davis County Jail. This whole
situation is terrifying,
but it's a sign of
where our politics are going. We have much
more violent rhetoric in our politics. It's
become much more us versus them. Our
politics are very tribal. We paint our political opponents
as enemies, as something
to be defeated. And while it is
horrifying that this happened, it's also
completely unsurprising. Friend of the
POD Mike Madrid, longtime political analyst.
He said that we are starting to enter
a period of prolonged, politically
motivated violence. This is his prediction coming true.
And I fear that this is going
to be a lot like the troubles in
Northern Ireland from the late 60s until
the late 80s when there was a lot of
sectarian violence. It was an asymmetrical
conflict. And I fear that
we're going to see more of that over the next
10 to 20 years. Like Mike Madrid has
predicted, this sort of thing has happened to me. I've been
doxed by people who don't like my coverage. I've
had people show up at my house and leave
threats. I understand just
how scary this is and
so take this seriously. There's a reason
why I don't like to go out in public anymore. There's a
reason why I do not go to the
movie theater. I rarely go go to
events in public because I just don't want to take that
risk anymore. People know my face, they know who
I am. I'm not a huge celebrity, but there are people who know
who I am. I don't want to open myself up to that.
And this sort of thing, I fear, is going
to become more and more
commonplace. And I fear you're going to see political
leaders targeted, politicians targeted.
I'm really, really scared that we're heading into
a very dark period of American
history. When I first heard this, my first reaction
was I was shocked. And my second reaction was
I hope this doesn't lead to more stuff like this because
it's terrible.
There was an article in the Deseret News this week that
talked about the anger and
reaction from Phil Lyman supporters to
Senator Mike Lee endorsing Rob Action
for Utah Republican Party Chair. The
article points out that Lyman supporters are calling
for Lee to be primaried Lee to face
a primary challenger and that he's part of the
establishment of the Republican Party. And then
Lee supporters coming in and basically saying, no,
he's not part of the establishment. Here's what you need to know
about this article. The person quoted in the
article as calling for Mike Lee to
be primaried is Sophie
Anderson. I have dealt with her for years. She is
a conspiracy theorist. She's an election
denier. She is part of an online
duo along with Jen Orton,
calling them themselves the two red Pills.
And they have developed a little bit of a
following since the 2020 election. They
roped Phil Lyman into their orbit along
with former Representative Steve
Christiansen who were convinced that there's
fraud in the election in 2020. She first came
to prominence when she led the charge against a
group home for youth in her
neighborhood and then she was arrested
as part of a group that disrupted a
GR school board meeting during the COVID
pandemic. Then she got into election denialism
and she has Connections to
Mike Lindell, the MyPillow guy. There's video and
pictures of her flying on his plane
down to Las Vegas for a conference with the
Constitutional sheriffs, another far right fringe group.
So Sophie Anderson, who is quoted
several times in this article as an example of
the discontent within the Republican Party with
Mike Lee, and that right there is why you can immediately
dismiss this article. Because
Sophie Anderson is not a credible person.
She is fringy even for the fringes
of the Utah Republican Party. So the fact that
she's quoted extensively in this article, you can
immediately dismiss it. I guess
the thesis statement of this article is that they're
upset that Mike Lee endorsed Rob
Axon and he's become part of
the GOP establishment. That is
laughable. First of all, Mike Lee and Rob
Axon have a long history. Axon was one of
top staffers. So of course Mike Lee is going to
endorse him. I think the thing they're really upset
about is the Donald Trump endorsement
of Rob Axon right before the convention.
That most likely was brokered by Mike
Lee, who has become close to the president.
I think that was the most damaging thing to
Phil Lyman's campaign because he came close to winning
at convention. He lost by only 124.
It was a 52 to 48% split among
the delegates. So he came really close. But I
think that the Donald Trump endorsement, which can
only have been brokered because of
Senator Mike Lee, really kneecapped Lyman
because Lyman made the fact that he was pardoned
by Trump a centerpiece of his campaign for governor last
year and for party chair this year. And
he held up that pardon from Trump as part of his
bona fides. And how it somehow
bestowed legitimacy upon him
in Trump world. And for Trump to come out and then
endorse his opponent right before the convention that
completely kneecapped him. They're not upset that
Mike Lee endorsed Rob Axon. And I don't think that
Mike Lee's endorsement is the reason why Rob
Axon won, at least not the complete reason. I think it's
the Donald Trump endorsement and that's why they're calling for Mike Lee
to lose in a primary. Who's going
to challenge Mike Lee seriously?
He fended off two challengers in 2022
to Ali Isom and Becky Edwards.
And I just don't see anyone mounting a serious
challenge to Mike Lee in the Republican
Party. The nomination is his for as long as
he wants it. He's going to keep that seat for as long as he
wants. Unless there is a titanic shift in
Utah's political landscape.
And I really think that the Republican Party
dodged a bullet here because if they had
elected Phil Lyman as the party chair,
it would have turned over the keys to the party to
Sophie and Anderson. What's not said in this article is
that she was one of the people who was a
major player in Lyman's campaign.
She was doing a lot of the behind the scenes stuff for
Lyman. She's been an ardent supporter of him. This
article doesn't mention that at all. It doesn't mention the
role that she played in that campaign.
Had he won, she would have had access to a
large portion of the Republican apparatus,
Republican machinery in this state. And that, that
I think should terrify
and give a lot of Republicans pause because
she was almost given a large amount of
power. I suspect that had he won,
Lyman was going to try to hire her for
staff position in the party or make
her some sort of advisor, give her access
to a lot of the data and a lot of the
fundraising mechanism for the party. And
that would have been a major disaster. So one,
you can dismiss this article in the Deseret
News because they don't dig into Sophie
Anderson. They probably should have found a better person to
personify the discontent with Mike Lee
within the Republican Party. And two,
to think that Mike Lee is somehow the
establishment now. He's the mainstream
of the Utah Republican Party, but he's not the establishment. To think
that he's the establishment is somehow just completely
laughable. Foreign
that's going to do it for this week. I hope everybody
has a wonderful and safe
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Once again, I hope you have a safe and happy Memorial
Day holiday. And we'll be back next week.
